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all 28 comments

[–]hobz462Cloud Racing 28 points29 points ago

He needs a larger sample space.

[–]name_with_a_y 37 points38 points ago

[–]pushtostart 9 points10 points ago

I think this is the only valid use of this gif.

[–]MikoSquiz 11 points12 points ago

[–]Ryanestrasz 15 points16 points ago

He can play with my penis any time ;)

[–]boruno 2 points3 points ago

I'm better at statistics than he is. So...

[–]t0werofbab3l 9 points10 points ago

I said I had a crush on him in the original post and got down voted. Haters gonna hate.

[–]MrThanatosEsquire 8 points9 points ago

He has just posted a video of the full segment on YouTube, go watch! :D

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WWTv4ZQdg8g&sns=em

[–]illusioncaster 6 points7 points ago

He's gorgeous and hilarious, thanks for the formal introduction to him ;)

[–]Darikona 10 points11 points ago

There are so many things wrong with this argument! >=[

First, there is confirmational bias happening here, also he is failing the 10% rule substantially. He needs to be touching 9 other dicks at a minimum for us to cautiously make these kinds of statements.

[–]MrBurd 2 points3 points ago

As someone who doesn't understand much of statistics, explain?

[–]Soluminsights unseen 34 points35 points ago

The guy needs to touch more dicks.

[–]boruno 7 points8 points ago

Who doesn't?

[–]Darikona 7 points8 points ago

Confirmational bias is a tendency to believe something that you already favor. You are interpreting things to suit your viewpoint.

Example: Racist has a bad run in with a minority, thus obviously those minorities were bad.

The 10% rule is just a standard thing done in basic statistics that if you want to use the normal curve to predict a probability you need at least 10 samples for one probability to 'cautiously' proceed with an argument. The smaller the sample the more you have to be careful that they are independent of one another.

The 10% rule was stretched for the sake of sarcasm in my post. I mean, there was already bias in his argument so no amount of statistics can be legitimately used.

But yes, he needs to touch more dicks.

[–]InternetLumberjackBird Internet, It's Brilliant! 2 points3 points ago

Uhhh... Hmmm... Okay, I'm going to accept the title of SuperDouche (and the lifetime supply of downvotes to accompany the title) by pointing out that that is a pretty bad/vague definition of confirmation bias.

Confirmation bias is the collection of evidence wherein the chosen evidence is skewed, cherry-picked, or otherwise distorted to support a desired outcome or hypothesis rather than to give an unbiased presentation of the facts. An example:

A researcher is collecting data regarding their thesis that unsaturated fats cause heart disease. They find 100 studies done, 90 of which are inconclusive or discredit the thesis, while 10 are in support of the thesis. The researcher concludes that their thesis is correct because the 10 studies they found "proves it to be so," disregarding the majority of evidence against their argument.

I don't really know how you could have a "tendency to believe something that you already favor" because you sorta have to believe in something to... favor it. Sorry if this seems confrontational, that was not my intention.

Edit: 99+10=?100

[–]kenright 0 points1 point ago

Confirmation bias is often, if not completely unintentional. Its not so much as they look at 100 data points and disregard 90 of them (because that's REALLY bad science) its more they have 1000 data points and 975 satisfy the thesis, but about 25 points of data which could arguably be considered outliers if they were both rarer and more unusual disprove the thesis. Note that a thesis is disproved if one statistically significant sample does not agree with the hypothesis, e.g. Coulomb's law would result in a specific force with 1 coulomb of charge. If the force observed is different within a certain amount, and cannot be explained for any other reason, then Coulomb's law would be disproved within those constraints.

Note that limits on measurements and the fact that mathematical models are not perfect (because, alas, the world is not composed entirely of perfect spheres and orders of ten), outliers often exist and are relatively easy to reason away.

Basically, with the concept of the racist: its not so much that he meets one bad minority and reinforces his belief that they are all bad, its that he meets one nice one and ignores his existence as a fluke, and continues to make generalizations.

Also, confirmation bias is not an inherently scientific term, although some silly people define it as that. It is also a very powerful behavioral thing (which is at the root of the scientific problem) and is part of the reason why people will disbelieve scientific evidence that points to homosexuality being static along with other things.

[–]Darikona 0 points1 point ago

Hardly confrontational, though I will need to tighten the definition next time. Thanks for clarifying

[–]majeric 0 points1 point ago

Well, confirmation bias is specifically that evidence that supports an established opinion holds more weight than evidence that contradicts the established opinion.

It's a failing in human psychology.

[–]discworldian 0 points1 point ago

There's a concept in statistics called margin of error. The smaller your sample size, the larger your margin of error. With a sample size of 1, the margin of error is massive.

[–]MrThanatosEsquire 2 points3 points ago

This guy is amazing! Loved this segment on Good News, he has a DVD out soon & will hopefully be going to see him on tour :D

[–]MikoSquiz 6 points7 points ago

I'm kind of a fan, but I didn't love his "it's so easy to get laid if you're gay!" bit.

SURE IT IS IF YOU LOOK LIKE THAT

[–]Cr4ke 2 points3 points ago

what's his name?

[–]MrThanatosEsquire 5 points6 points ago

[–]boruno 2 points3 points ago

Elementary my dear Watson. ;)

[–]rooth 2 points3 points ago

Considering his look, I can only hope his statistics are correct! ;P

[–]josephdean21 2 points3 points ago

I'm watching all of his videos on YouTube right now. He's so damn adorable. New favourite Scottish comedian.

[–]iomex 2 points3 points ago

All he's going to do is attract the maths weirdos!

[–]MCMikeNamara 10 points11 points ago

And that's a bad thing?